The actual game supplies the refined stage marginal bound #
The actual full Introspect measurement is refined deterministically. Its malformed mass is retained and charged to the actual reported-prefix error, which comes from the Sample tests and primitive Bob-Z extraction.
Stated in a bipartite model (Phase 4 of planning/mipco-track.md): the extracted register state is
the register model Ξ.reg (ι → F) of a normalized auxiliary model Ξ, and the measurements are
POVMs in its algebras (the postprocessing identity in any ordered ⋆-ring).
Actual POVM postprocessing gives precisely the tested prefix map, including all malformed constructors.
The real refined stage marginal is at most 16η + 56|E|ε.
The product form and old-prefix support are the current induction
invariant; the marginal estimate itself follows from actual game tests.